286-252

Romney wins. That's my prediction out of the 538 Electoral College votes available. No need to hold the election, I have come out from on high and dispersed my wisdom... hehe.

As we all know, the first to 270 wins. Michael Barone, the Right-leaning gold standard of county by county election cycle science, went on record yesterday to say he's predicting Romney at 315 due to party identity, independents breaking, and enthusiasm. He's no political hack. He looks and talks like a scientist, a pure researcher. The only reason I gauged it closer (clearly he knows more than I) is my natural pessimism kicking in. In my opinion the bottom line is Ohio. If Romney wins its' 18 Electoral votes he's a lock. If Obama wins Ohio Romney still has a path to victory, but not an easy one (including Iowa and New Hampshire). I think the dark horse GOP state to win is Titus' stomping ground, PA. It's just possible the social issues combined with Obama's energy policy (coal etc) could tip this state to Mitt.

Now for something borderline delusional. I'm talking Mad Hatter, butterfly net territory. President Obama was in Madison, WI today (by the way, his need to defend Wisconsin should give us all hope - that Scott Walker recall was a major boon for the GOP), and when speaking to the gathered crowd he said the following (this is a direct quote): "This shouldn't  be that complicated. We tried our ideas. They worked. We grew the economy, created jobs, and the deficit went down. We tried their ideas. The economy didn't grow. Not as many jobs were created, and the deficit went up."

Holy delusions of grandeur Batman!

Do you think he really believes this? Is the teleprompter guy just messing with him? I mean not even Democrats dispute the deficit nearly doubled, they just don't care. I assume he means George W. Bush when he says "their way." However, Bush's overall average numbers on unemployment; GDP growth; GDP to debt ratio; food stamp participants; gas prices; deficit spending  - even including the second half of 2008 when the economic collapse occurred - were provably better than the last four years. It's not even close. What is he talking about then? George H. Bush? Reagan? Their numbers (in particular Reagan's) dwarf him in every category. President Obama is the first CIC in American history to have annual Trillion dollar deficits. He hasn't even passed a budget during his entire term, and that's with controlling both houses of congress during half of it. On the day he took office the unemployment rate was 7.8%. Tomorrow, on election day, it will be 7.9%. Again, I ask, is he delusional?

By the way, have you ever heard of the "Redskins Rule" of politics (I mean the NFL team, obviously)? I heard today that for the last 19 elections, whenever the Skins win on the Sunday before election day, the incumbent president wins. When they lose, the incumbent loses. The Skins lost yesterday.